... for Joe Football Fan. We spend a whole weekend in April laying about on the couch in rapt attention, listening to analysts prattle on about random college players from obscure outposts from across the country.

These "Draft Experts" whose job descriptions when you think about it are basically to be fortune tellers, have watched these young men—kids, really—at most a handful of times. From these scant sample sizes, they forecast the pro future of strangers, simply by focusing on a trivial detail here or a bit of coincidence there and without taking into consideration hundreds of variables, which, in their defense, is because they can't.

We take these men seriously because in most cases even their mere speck of knowledge...

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